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NFLX

Netflix, Inc. Communication Services
$77.98 -2.34 (-2.91%)
↓

SHORT

low conviction

Price Chart (3 Months)

Entry Exit

🧠 AI Analysis

claude-sonnet-4-6 · $0.0105 · 9/15 11:52 AM

Technical

42

Sentiment

48

Timing

38

Risk

62

NFLX is currently on day 2 of the week with Tuesday historically red 57.1% of the time and already down 1.45% this week, suggesting limited additional short-side edge today. The MACD bearish cross, price trading below SMA20 ($79.64), and very low volume ratio (0.39) indicate weak buying conviction, while the 10-day downtrend (-3.69%) conflicts with the 5-day uptick creating a mixed momentum environment. The weekly reversal rate of 61.5% and Wednesday's historical positive bias (+0.382%) suggest a potential bounce mid-week, making a short entry today with a Wednesday exit the most tactical play, though conviction remains low given the conflicting signals.

Best entry: N/A Exit by: N/A

🎯 7-Layer Prediction

54

SKIP

neutral · RANGE_BOUND

Entry: $78.64

Stop: $81.42

Target: $75.64

Size: $1,966

Predicted Return

+0.349%

Similar Pattern Win Rate

60%

📰 News & Sentiment

180 articles +51 positive 108 neutral -21 negative Avg: +0.143
2 Internet Stocks for Long-Term Investors and 1 We Question Yahoo 9/15 04:04 AM
2 Internet Stocks for Long-Term Investors and 1 We Question Yahoo 9/15 04:04 AM
2 Internet Stocks for Long-Term Investors and 1 We Question Yahoo 9/15 04:04 AM
S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Drop On Chipmaker Weakness, Treasury Yield Pressure — MSFT, NFLX, ORCL, CRWD, RBLX In Focus Yahoo 9/14 05:53 PM
S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Drop On Chipmaker Weakness, Treasury Yield Pressure — MSFT, NFLX, ORCL, CRWD, RBLX In Focus Yahoo 9/14 05:53 PM
S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Drop On Chipmaker Weakness, Treasury Yield Pressure — MSFT, NFLX, ORCL, CRWD, RBLX In Focus Yahoo 9/14 05:53 PM
Why Netflix Stock Rallied Today Yahoo 9/14 05:06 PM
Why Netflix Stock Rallied Today Yahoo 9/14 05:06 PM
Why Netflix Stock Rallied Today Yahoo 9/14 05:06 PM
Netflix stock jumps as Wall Street sees a new growth engine Yahoo 9/14 05:04 PM
Netflix stock jumps as Wall Street sees a new growth engine Yahoo 9/14 05:04 PM
Netflix stock jumps as Wall Street sees a new growth engine Yahoo 9/14 05:04 PM
Netflix Stock Rose 4% While the AI Trade Sold Off on Monday. Its Capital Goes Into Shows, Not Silicon. Yahoo 9/14 03:47 PM
Netflix Stock Rose 4% While the AI Trade Sold Off on Monday. Its Capital Goes Into Shows, Not Silicon. Yahoo 9/14 03:47 PM
Netflix Stock Rose 4% While the AI Trade Sold Off on Monday. Its Capital Goes Into Shows, Not Silicon. Yahoo 9/14 03:47 PM
Netflix Shares Jump After Evercore Raises Price Target To $110 Yahoo 9/14 02:17 PM
Netflix Shares Jump After Evercore Raises Price Target To $110 Yahoo 9/14 02:17 PM
Netflix Shares Jump After Evercore Raises Price Target To $110 Yahoo 9/14 02:17 PM
Netflix Climbs 4%, Alphabet Ticks Up, Amazon Barely Budges as New Streaming Policy Alliance Launches Yahoo 9/14 01:45 PM
Netflix Climbs 4%, Alphabet Ticks Up, Amazon Barely Budges as New Streaming Policy Alliance Launches Yahoo 9/14 01:45 PM

🕵️ Insider Activity

0

Buys

10

Sells

-10

Net

BEARISH
🔴 BARTON RICHARD N 1,440
🔴 BARTON RICHARD N 720
🔴 NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM 9,248

📊 Technical Indicators

RSI (14) 48.2 neutral
MACD bearish cross
Trend Uptrend

Moving Averages

SMA 20 $79.64
SMA 50 $75.79
SMA 200 $—
EMA 12 $78.63
EMA 26 $78.19

Volatility

ATR (14) $2.32
Volume Ratio 0.39x very low

Bollinger Bands

Upper $—
Middle $—
Lower $—

📅 Weekly Patterns

Signal: LEAN_SHORT (40%)

→ Tuesday historically red 57.1% of the time

→ 5d trend (up) diverges from 20d (down)

Week: -1.45% · Reversal rate: 61.5%

5d up moderate (+2.36%)
10d down moderate (-3.69%)
20d down weak (+0.07%)
Streak: 1 red

📈 Backtest (6mo)

Return -4.12%
Win Rate 16.70%
Profit Factor 0.12
Sharpe -3.62
Sortino -4.33
Max DD -4.81%
SQN -2.9
Expectancy $-34.30
Trades 12