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AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc. Consumer Cyclical
$200.53 -7.01 (-3.38%)
↑

LONG

low conviction

Price Chart (3 Months)

🧠 AI Analysis

claude-sonnet-4 Β· $0.0081 Β· 3/27 04:17 PM

Technical

25

Sentiment

45

Timing

65

Risk

75

AMZN shows oversold conditions with RSI at 37.7 and is down -4.98% this week, creating potential mean reversion opportunity. Friday historically performs poorly (-0.882% avg) but the 53.8% weekly reversal rate suggests bounce potential into next week, with Monday showing positive bias (+0.433% avg).

Best entry: N/A Exit by: N/A

🎯 7-Layer Prediction

51

SKIP

neutral Β· TRANSITIONAL

Entry: $201.08

Stop: $208.03

Target: $193.54

Predicted Return

+0.130%

Similar Pattern Win Rate

40%

πŸ“° News & Sentiment

100 articles +18 positive 68 neutral -14 negative Avg: +0.003

πŸ•΅οΈ Insider Activity

0

Buys

11

Sells

-11

Net

BEARISH
πŸ”΄ HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J 1,000
πŸ”΄ ZAPOLSKY DAVID A. 17,749
πŸ”΄ REYNOLDS SHELLEY L 2,695
πŸ”΄ JASSY ANDREW R. 19,872
πŸ”΄ HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J 6,835

πŸ“Š Technical Indicators

RSI (14) 37.7 bearish
MACD strong bearish
Trend Strong Downtrend

Moving Averages

SMA 20 $210.53
SMA 50 $217.20
SMA 200 $β€”
EMA 12 $208.13
EMA 26 $210.84

Volatility

ATR (14) $5.81
Volume Ratio 1.21x normal

Bollinger Bands

Upper $β€”
Middle $β€”
Lower $β€”

πŸ“… Weekly Patterns

Signal: LEAN_LONG (40%)

β†’ Friday historically red 61.5% of the time

β†’ Week down -4.98% β€” bounce likely

β†’ High reversal rate (53.8%) β€” late week recovery possible

Week: -4.98% Β· Reversal rate: 53.8%

5d down strong (-5.14%)
10d down strong (-5.86%)
20d down moderate (-4.34%)
Streak: 2 red

πŸ“ˆ Backtest (6mo)

Return -0.47%
Win Rate 63.60%
Profit Factor 0.86
Sharpe -0.38
Sortino -0.48
Max DD -2.22%
SQN -0.22
Expectancy $-4.28
Trades 11