AMZN Analysis — AI Trader

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AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc. Consumer Cyclical

$248.60 -4.94 (-1.95%)

↓

SHORT

medium conviction

Price Chart (3 Months)

Entry Exit

🧠 AI Analysis

claude-sonnet-4-6 · $0.0103 · 9/15 11:50 AM

Technical

Sentiment

Timing

Risk

AMZN is in a confirmed strong downtrend with price below both SMA20 ($257.90) and SMA50 ($255.57), MACD deeply bearish at -1.38, and the stock sits 13.3% off its 52-week high. Tuesday historically produces red closes 78.6% of the time with an average loss of -0.736%, and the current week is already down 1.60% with 2 consecutive red days reinforcing bearish momentum. The very low volume ratio (0.43) suggests lack of buying conviction, and the 10-20 day trend confirms sustained selling pressure with no clear reversal catalyst.

Best entry: N/A Exit by: N/A

🎯 7-Layer Prediction

SKIP

neutral · TRANSITIONAL

Entry: $251.08

Stop: $258.44

Target: $243.11

Size: $2,000

Predicted Return

+0.101%

Similar Pattern Win Rate

60%

📰 News & Sentiment

180 articles +31 positive 121 neutral -28 negative Avg: -0.004

Is It Worth Investing in Amazon (AMZN) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views? Yahoo 9/15 09:30 AM

Amazon AWS Says Access Cannot Be Restored to Bahrain Facility After War Damage Yahoo 9/15 09:29 AM

Is The Trade Desk's Cash Worth More Than Its Lost Growth? Yahoo 9/15 09:19 AM

Amazon Gains 1.6% as Its $53 Billion Anthropic Windfall Meets a Weapons Test Yahoo 9/15 08:41 AM

2 Stocks That Will Cash In When Anthropic Goes Public Yahoo 9/15 08:35 AM

The AI Company You Haven't Heard of -- But Should Keep on Your Radar Yahoo 9/15 07:35 AM

Wall Street pushes back on Anthropic's warning as AI spending expected to roll on: Chart of the Day Yahoo 9/15 06:00 AM

🕵️ Insider Activity

Buys

Sells

-11

Net

BEARISH

🔴 HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J 1,000

🔴 ZAPOLSKY DAVID A. 15,430

🔴 JASSY ANDREW R. 20,000

🔴 REYNOLDS SHELLEY L 2,343

📊 Technical Indicators

RSI (14) 41.9 neutral

MACD strong bearish

Trend Strong Downtrend

Moving Averages

SMA 20 $257.89

SMA 50 $255.57

SMA 200 $—

EMA 12 $255.36

EMA 26 $256.74

Volatility

ATR (14) $6.13

Volume Ratio 0.43x very low

Bollinger Bands

Upper $—

Middle $—

Lower $—

📅 Weekly Patterns

Signal: LEAN_SHORT (40%)

→ Tuesday historically red 78.6% of the time

Week: -1.60% · Reversal rate: 53.8%

5d down weak (-1.30%)

10d down moderate (-2.28%)

20d down moderate (-3.99%)

Streak: 2 red

📈 Backtest (6mo)

Return -0.47%

Win Rate 63.60%

Profit Factor 0.86

Sharpe -0.38

Sortino -0.48

Max DD -2.22%

SQN -0.22

Expectancy $-4.28

Trades 11